FAHP-GIS在FAST台址单体滑坡危险性评价中的应用

[目的]研究贵州省平塘县500 m口径球面射电望远镜(FAST)工程台址光明顶滑坡的危险性及其区划,为该区及相似地区的滑坡灾害监测与防治提供参考依据。[方法]选取地形地貌、岩性岩组、地质构造、人类工程活动及灾害历史等作为一级评价指标,在此基础上发展二级评价指标,运用GIS技术构建基于模糊层次法(FAHP)的滑坡危险性评价指标体系,并完全参与对指标隶属度矩阵的运算,开展针对喀斯特单体滑坡危险性评价研究。[结果]光明顶坡体总体居于中危险和低危险水平,局部高危险,高危险区域主要位于1 H馈源塔和断层破碎带区域的3个支撑柱附近,高危险区约占研究区面积的4%。[结论]光明顶坡体存在安全隐患,已经对精密的射电望远镜设施的安全运行构成威胁。本文评价结果与实际情况基本相符,评价方法在单体滑坡危险性评价研究方面具有创新性,且可操作。     

野生稻种质在水稻抗病育种上的研究及应用进展

野生稻是一个重要的基因资源库,包含了水稻各种病害的抗性基因。本文综述了野生稻丰富的抗性资源及其基因的挖掘,以及在水稻育种上的利用研究进展,并对目前存在的突出问题,提出了野生稻种质资源抗病育种的发展建议。     

基于PCA-SVR-ARMA的狮头鹅养殖禽舍气温组合预测模型

为提高狮头鹅养殖禽舍气温预测精度,提出了基于主成分分析(Principal Component Analysis,PCA)、支持向量回归机(Support Vector Regression,SVR)融合自回归滑动平均(Autoregressive Moving Average,ARMA)模型的狮头鹅养殖禽舍气温组合预测模型。在建模过程中,运用主成分分析法筛选狮头鹅养殖禽舍气温的关键影响因子,消除变量之间冗余信息,约简预测模型结构;采用SVR-ARMA构建狮头鹅禽养殖舍气温组合预测模型,先通过SVR对气温进行预测,再由基于ARMA模型的残差预测值修正气温预测结果。利用该模型对广东省汕尾市2018年7月21日至2018年7月30日期间的狮头鹅养殖禽舍气温进行预测。结果表明,该组合预测模型取得了良好的预测性能,与标准BP神经网络、标准SVR、PCA-BPNN(反向传播神经网络,BackPropagationNeuralNetwork)、PCA-SVR和PCA-BPNN-ARMA等模型对比分析,其评价指标平均绝对误差、均方根误差和平均绝对百分比误差分别为0.183 2℃、0.454 0℃和0.005 9,均表明所提出的组合模型具有更高的预测效果,不仅能够满足狮头鹅养殖禽舍气温实际精准调控的需要,还为狮头鹅健康养殖和种苗繁育环境精细化管理提供决策。     

糯玉米新品种河糯612的选育及高产栽培技术

河糯612是以自交系 HN601作为父本，与自主选择自交系 HN16作为母本，经杂交选育而成的糯玉米杂交种，于2018年5月30日通过广西壮族自治区农作物品种审定委员会审定。河糯612幼苗长势旺盛、整齐，植株穗位、株高较为整齐，果穗均匀、穗长较长，结实好，行排列整齐，行间紧致，出籽率比较高，色泽好。可在广西全区种植。     

现代机械制造工艺与精密加工技术探析

社会主义市场经济逐年发展，各行各业都在不断成长，机械制造工业也有了较大的发展，现代机械制造工艺的运用渐渐成熟。但是我国的机械制造基础比较薄弱，现代机械制造工艺与精密加工技术都需要深层的研究和实践。文章阐述了现代机械制造工艺和精密加工技术的基本情况，并分析了它们的特点，希望能够以此对现代机械制造工艺与精密加工技术有个明晰的介绍。     

Pre-breeding for resistance to Verticillium wilt in olive: Fishing in the wild relative gene pool

This study aimed to identify new sources of resistance to Verticillium wilt in olive. We evaluated various types of genotypes: wild olive trees (Olea europaea subsp. europaea var. sylvestris), genotypes belonging to related subspecie (Olea europaea subsp. guanchica) and genotypes coming from crosses between Picual cultivar and wild olive trees. Fifty-six genotypes were inoculated by dipping roots and then screened under controlled conditions to test their resistance to a highly virulent Defoliating isolate of Verticillium dahliae. Picual (susceptible) and Frantoio (resistant) were control cultivars. Wide variability and significant differences were obtained in the evaluated disease parameters. The Relative Susceptibility Index (RSI), summarizing the disease parameters, was used for final classification of genotypes. Thirteen genotypes were categorized as resistant: eight wild olives from different locations, two genotypes belonging to subsp. guanchica populations from Canary Islands and three genotypes obtained from one of the crosses Picual x wild. The identification of high levels of resistance to V. dahliae among wild olive genotypes may be helpful for the management of this disease. The resistant genotypes could be used as rootstocks for susceptible olive cultivars or parents in future breeding programs.     

常利率通货膨胀下有扰动的双复合Poisson-Geometric过程的两险种风险模型

考虑常利率及通货膨胀下有扰动的双复合Poisson-Geometric过程的两险种风险模型,运用鞅方法得到破产概率满足的Lundberg不等式和一般公式,当保费和索赔服从指数分布和混合指数分布时,得到破产概率的精确表达式。     

推进种养结合的制约因素及政策建议

随着粮食增产的迫切需求和化肥工业的快速发展,我国种植业与养殖业养分物质循环断裂,推进种养结合成为实现农业绿色发展重要途径。但目前,我国从农户层面以及区域层面都存在着种植与养殖之间的纽带断裂,造成了农业资源利用的错位,也产生了资源环境双重压力。推进种养结合的堵点主要表现在养殖场责任尚未压实、有机肥施用不便利、堆肥质量标准缺失、社会化服务体系不完善等多方面。本文结合对国内和国际上推进种养结合的典型做法的分析,在强化提升国家粮食安全保障能力的大背景下,从优化种养布局规划、压实养殖主体责任、强化科技支撑、培育社会化服务组织等方面提出了当前构建全新的种养循环体系的建议。     

Maize defence mechanisms against the European corn borer,Ostrinia nubilalis Hübner (Lepidoptera: Crambidae)

Maize is arguably the most widely grown crop in the world, but it is often associated with one of its major insect pests, the European corn borer (ECB). The damage caused by this species to maize production is generally variable, but in many cases it is economically significant. This review paper provides an overview of the research findings on the natural plant defence mechanisms against ECB larvae published till now. What is resistance and how it is achieved, what is the chemical response of maize plants to insect feeding and how tolerance can be increased. A short introduction in breeding for resistance and a discussion if the mentioned traits can be used in conventional breeding in order to create maize hybrids less affected by ECB are given.